| 1. |
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| 2. |
- Karlsson, Ida, 1980, et al.
(författare)
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Reaching net-zero carbon emissions in construction supply chains - Analysis of a Swedish road construction project
- 2020
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Ingår i: Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. - : Elsevier BV. - 1364-0321 .- 1879-0690. ; 120
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Recent estimates suggest that the construction sector accounts for approximately one quarter of global CO2 emissions. This paper assesses the potential for reducing the climate impact of road construction. The study is structured as a participatory integrated assessment with involvement from key stakeholders in the supply chain, supported by energy and material flow mapping, an extensive literature review and a scenario analysis. The results indicate that it is technically possible to halve road construction CO2 emissions with today's best available technologies and practices, to abate more than three quarters of the emissions by 2030 and achieve close to net zero emissions by 2045. Realising the current potential would rely on sufficient availability of sustainably produced second-generation biofuels, indicating a need to speed up the implementation of alternative abatement measures, including optimization of material use and mass handling requirements, increased recycling of steel, asphalt and aggregates and enhanced use of alternative binders in concrete. Policy measures and procurement strategies should be aligned to support these measures with a clear supply chain focus. For deep decarbonization several key opportunities and obstacles for realisation of breakthrough technologies for basic industry are highlighted including electrification and carbon capture for steel and cement, and hybridisation and electrification for heavy transport and construction equipment. There is a clear need to prepare for deeper abatement and associated transformative shifts already now and to carefully consider the pathway of getting there while avoiding pitfalls along the way, such as overreliance on biofuels or cost optimizations which cannot be scaled up to the levels required.
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| 3. |
- Goop, Joel, 1986, et al.
(författare)
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Impact of electricity market feedback on investments in solar photovoltaic and battery systems in Swedish single-family dwellings
- 2021
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Ingår i: Renewable Energy. - : Elsevier BV. - 0960-1481 .- 1879-0682. ; 163, s. 1078-1091
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- The profitability of investments in photovoltaics (PVs) and batteries in private households depends on the market price of electricity, which in turn is affected by the investments made in and the usage of PVs and batteries. This creates a feedback mechanism between the centralised electricity generation system, and household investments in PVs and batteries. To investigate this feedback effect, we connect a local optimisation model for household investments with a European power generation dispatch model. The local optimisation is based on the consumption profiles measured for 2104 Swedish households. The modelling compares three different scenarios for the centralised electricity supply system in Year 2032, as well as several sensitivity cases. Our results show total investment levels of 5–20 GWp of PV and 0.01–10 GWh of battery storage capacity in Swedish households in the investigated cases. These levels are up to 33% lower than before market feedback is taken into account. The profitability of PV investments is affected most by the price of electricity and the assumptions made regarding grid tariffs and taxes. The value of investments in batteries depends on both the benefits of increased self-consumption of PV electricity and market arbitrage.
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| 4. |
- Johnsson, Filip, 1960, et al.
(författare)
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Delrapport B2. Elektrifieringens betydelse för omställningen - till Klimaträttsutredningen M 2019:05
- 2022
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Rapport (övrigt vetenskapligt/konstnärligt)abstract
- Syftet med denna studie är dels att peka på betydelsen av elektrifieringen som åtgärd för att nå Sveriges klimatmål, dels att utreda vad detta kan komma att innebära för den framtida elanvändningen. Eftersom industrin och transportsektorn idag står för de största utsläppen av växthusgaser ligger fokus för denna studie på en analys av elektrifieringens roll i dessa sektorer. Vi kan konstatera att elektrifiering som klimatåtgärd inom industri och transport har rönt stor uppmärksamhet under de senaste åren. Det handlar bland annat om att järn- och stålindustrin, som står för de största industriella utsläppen av koldioxid i Sverige, har aviserat ett antal projekt och investeringar som, om de realiseras, helt kommer att ställa om denna bransch, kraftigt minska utsläppen av växthusgaser och väsentligt bidra till en ökad elförbrukning. Även andra industribranscher har aviserat ambitioner att ersätta fossil bränsleanvändning med el och vätgas. Men utvecklingen berör också transportsektorn där försäljningen av elfordon har tagit ordentlig fart och där flertalet prognoser pekar på att majoriteten av nybilsförsäljningen av lätta fordon kommer att utgöras av laddbara fordon innan 2030. Om denna utveckling fortgår och förstärks enligt de planer och ambitioner som finns så bedöms Sverige, genom elektrifieringen, ha goda förutsättningar att nå sitt nettonollutsläppsmål till 2045. Elektrifiering är inte den enda åtgärden som erfordras för den klimatpolitiska omställningen utan kommer att ackompanjeras av andra åtgärder som exempelvis ökad användning av biobränslen och effektiviseringar. Däremot pekar väldigt mycket på att elektrifiering kan bli den enskilt viktigaste åtgärden för att omställningen ska ske tillräckligt snabbt och i tillräcklig omfattning. Det finns dock ett antal viktiga omständigheter som kan utgöra hinder för en ökad elektrifiering och, därmed på sikt, äventyra de svenska klimatmålen. En omfattande elektrifiering av det slag som sannolikt krävs, och som analyseras i denna rapport, innebär en infrastrukturell kraftansträngning inte minst med avseende på utbyggnad av elnätsinfrastruktur och elproduktion. Ledtiderna för sådana satsningar kan av flera skäl bli mycket långdragna. Detta bidrar till ökade osäkerheter och riskerar leda till att projekt som syftar till minskade växthusgasutsläpp men som kräver ansenliga mängder el inte blir av. En genomgång av olika studier indikerar att den svenska elanvändningen kan komma att i princip fördubblas till 2050 givet att elektrifieringen blir omfattande inom industri och transporter. En omfattande elektrifiering är i grund och botten en önskvärd utveckling med tanke på klimatutmaningen. Men denna utveckling kommer också att fordra en bred samhällelig uppslutning för att bli lyckosam.
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| 5. |
- Lehtveer, Mariliis, 1983, et al.
(författare)
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Actuating the European Energy System Transition: Indicators for Translating Energy Systems Modelling Results into Policy-Making
- 2021
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Ingår i: Frontiers in Energy Research. - : Frontiers Media SA. - 2296-598X. ; 9
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- In this paper, we define indicators, with a focus on the electricity sector, that translate the results of energy systems modelling to quantitative entities that can facilitate assessments of the transitions required to meet stringent climate targets. Such indicators, which are often overlooked in model scenario presentations, can be applied to make the modelling results more accessible and are useful for managing the transition on the policy level, as well as for internal evaluations of modelling results. We propose a set of 13 indicators related to: 1) the resource and material usages in modelled energy system designs; 2) the rates of transition from current to future energy systems; and 3) the energy security in energy system modelling results. To illustrate its value, the proposed set of indicators is applied to energy system scenarios derived from an electricity system investment model for Northern Europe. We show that the proposed indicators are useful for facilitating discussions, raising new questions, and relating the modelling results to Sustainable Development Goals and thus facilitate better policy processes. The indicators presented here should not be seen as a complete set, but rather as examples. Therefore, this paper represents a starting point and a call to other modellers to expand and refine the list of indicators.
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| 6. |
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Method and models used in the project Pathways to Sustainable European Energy Systems
- 2011
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Samlingsverk (redaktörskap) (refereegranskat)abstract
- This book describes the research that has been carried out during the first period (2006-2010) of the Alliance for Global Sustainability (AGS) project "Pathways to Sustainable European Energy Systems". this interdisciplinary project involves more that 40 researchers and addresses various aspects of the challenges faced in transforming the European energy system. Presented in this book are the energy-related methods and models that originate from different scientific disciplines and traditions and that were applied in the Pathways project. Some of the analytical tools are well-known, well-documented, and widely used in academic research. Others have been developed (or refined) during the Pathways project and are therefore unique. The chapters of this book cover around 30 different methods and models used in the Pathways project and presents an overview of the processes through which the research was conducted and the methods and models were co-ordinated.
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| 7. |
- Ó Broin, Eoin, 1973, et al.
(författare)
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Quantifying the Energy Efficiency Gap for Space and Water heating in the Residential Sector in Sweden
- 2011
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Ingår i: Proceedings of Energy efficiency first: The foundation of a low-carbon society, European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (ECEEE) 2011 Summer Study 6–11 June 2011 Belambra Presqu'île de Giens, France. - 9789163344558
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Konferensbidrag (refereegranskat)abstract
- Two different methodologies, one top-down and one bottom-up, are presented for estimating potential future energy demand for space and water heating in the existing building stock of the residential sector to 2030. Two future price scenarios are used as inputs. The work is tested using data for the existing Swedish residential building stock. Compared to 2005 levels of energy use (74 TWh) the bottom-up model shows reductions to 52 TWh and 50 TWh for the two price scenarios, respectively. Results from the top-down model are 11 % (8 TWh) and 7 % (5 TWh) higher than those of the bottom-up model for the two price scenarios. This suggests that the price mechanism alone will not be sufficient to achieve the full techno-economic potential for energy efficiency.
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| 8. |
- Zetterberg, Lars, et al.
(författare)
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Incentivizing BECCS - A Swedish Case Study
- 2021
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Ingår i: Frontiers in Climate. - : Frontiers Media SA. - 2624-9553. ; 3
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- Negative carbon dioxide (CO2)-emissions are prevalent in most global emissions pathways that meet the Paris temperature targets and are a critical component for reaching net-zero emissions in Year 2050. However, economic incentives supporting commercialization and deployment of BioEnergy Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) are missing. This Policy and Practice Review discusses five different models for creating incentives and financing for BECCS, using Sweden as an example: (1) governmental guarantees for purchasing BECCS outcomes; (2) quota obligation on selected sectors to acquire BECCS outcomes; (3) allowing BECCS credits to compensate for hard-to-abate emissions within the EU ETS; (4) private entities for voluntary compensation; and (5) other states acting as buyers of BECCS outcomes to meet their mitigation targets under the Paris Agreement. We conclude that successful implementation of BECCS is likely to require a combination of several of the Policy Models, implemented in a sequential manner. The governmental guarantee model (Model 1) is likely to be required in the shorter term, so as to establish BECCS. Policy Models 2 and 3 may become more influential over time once BECCS has been established and accepted. Model 3 links BECCS to a large carbon-pricing regime with opportunities for cost-effectiveness and expanded financing. We conclude that Policy Models 4 and 5 are associated with high levels of uncertainty regarding the timing and volume of negative emissions that can be expected—Thus, they are unlikely to trigger BECCS implementation in the short term, although may have roles in the longer term. Based on this study, we recommend that policymakers carefully consider a policy sequencing approach that is predictable and sustainable over time, for which further analyses are required. It is not obvious how such sequencing can be arranged, as the capacities to implement the different Policy Models are vested in different organizations (national governments, EU, private firms). Furthermore, it is important that a BECCS policy is part of an integrated climate policy framework, in particular one that is in line with policies aimed at the mitigation of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the creation of a circular economy. It will be important to ensure that BECCS and the associated biomass resource are not overexploited. A well-designed policy package should guarantee that BECCS is neither used to postpone the reduction of fossil fuel-based emissions nor overused in the short term as a niche business for “greenwashing” while not addressing fossil fuel emissions.
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| 9. |
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| 10. |
- Johnsson, Filip, 1960, et al.
(författare)
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The threat to climate change mitigation posed by the abundance of fossil fuels
- 2019
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Ingår i: Climate Policy. - : Informa UK Limited. - 1752-7457 .- 1469-3062. ; 19:2, s. 258-274
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Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)abstract
- ABSTRACT This article analyses the trends in primary demand for fossil fuels and renewables, comparing regions with large and small domestic fossil fuel reserves. We focus on countries that hold 80% of global fossil fuel reserves and compare them with key countries that have meagre fossil fuel reserves. We show that those countries with large domestic fossil fuel reserves have experienced a large increase in primary energy demand from fossil fuels, but only a moderate or no increase in primary energy from renewables, and in particular from non-hydro renewable energy sources (NHRES), which are assumed to represent the cornerstone of the future transformation of the global energy system. This implies a tremendous threat to climate change mitigation, with only two principal mitigation options for fossil-fuelrich economies if there is to be compliance with the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement: (1) leave the fossil fuels in the ground; and (2) apply carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. Combinations of these two options to exploit their respective possibilities synergistically will require strong initiatives and incentives to transform a certain amount of the domestic fossil fuel reserves (including the associated infrastructure) into stranded assets and to create an extensive CCS infrastructure. Our conclusion is that immediate and disruptive changes to the use of fossil fuels and investments in non-carbon-emitting technologies are required if global warming is to be limited to well below 2°C. Collective actions along value chains in business to divert from fossil fuels may be a feasible strategy. Key policy insights . The main obstacle to compliance with any reasonable warming target is the abundance of fossil fuels, which has maintained and increased momentum towards new fossil-fuelled processes. . So far, there has been no increase in the share of NHRES in total global primary energy demand, with a clear decline in the NHRES share in India and China. . There is an immediate need for the global community to develop fossil fuel strategies and policies. . Policies must account for the global trade flow of products that typically occurs from the newly industrialized fossil fuel-rich countries to the developed countries.
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